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Plunged 2.7% in December, marking its worst string of declines

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since comparable records began in 1992, and domestic demands
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are likely to deteriorate further as consumers continue to face a weakening labor market paired with tightening credit conditions. As the economic downturn in the U.S. Retail sales report had over EURUSD for the past 2 months U.S. A report by the Conference Board sho that consumer confidence fell to 37.7 from a revised reading of 38.6 in December, which was the lowest reading since records begin in 1967.

Dollar continues to benefit from safe haven flows, the reserve currency may strengthen against its currency counterparts as risk sentiment continues to drive price action in the forex market. Therefore, if the retail sales report crosses the wires better than expected ( a drop of 0.2%

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or less) paired with an
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increase in safe-haven flows, we will look for a red, five-minute candle following the enhanced release to confirm a sell entry on two lots of EURUSD. A deeper look into the report sho that sales at gasoline stations slipped another 15.9% after falling 18.3% in the previous month, while discretionary spending on clothing fell 2.5% during the month. Bearish Scenario:If we see substantially deeper available liquidity on the Offer side of the market,
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this tells us that major price
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providers in the market are looking to sell the Euro against the US Dollar.

Retail Sales Private spending in the U.S. How To Trade This Event Risk Retail spending in the U.S. Considering that close to 60% of all FX market volume is cleared through just six top banks, we see it prudent to be

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on the same side of the trade as major institutions and will favor a bearish bias on EURUSD ahead of the data release. The data foreshadows a deepening recession in the economy as private-sector spending, which is one of the biggest drivers of growth, falters, and will certainly weigh on the Obama Administration's ability to jump-start the world's largest economy as growths prospects deteriorate
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at a record pace. Advance Retail Sales What's Expected Time of release. Increasing volume
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ahead of the announcement will telegraph likely follow-through behind whatever move is to materialize.

Is expected to contract another 0.8% in January as consumers continue to face financial uncertainties paired with a weakening labor market. Nevertheless, the lack of clarity in Treasury Secretary Archy Geithner bank bailout plan and the mediocre remarks held by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke failed to restore confidence amongst investors, which sparked a rise in risk aversion across the global market, and as the U.S. What To Look For Before The Release Traders with access to market depth

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information via the FXCM Active Trader Platform may use it to gauge the
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potency of the economic data release as well as to shed some light on the market's directional bias.

Senate passed a $838B fiscal stimulus plan earlier this week in an effort to stimulate growth in the country however, as hurdles remain to get the legislation written

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into law, the tedious and cumbersome process will likely prolong the much needed aide to the economy, which could weigh on the greenback as the outlook for growth remains bleak. On the other hand, mounting job losses paired with financial uncertainties are likely to drag on consumer spending, and a dismal
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sales reading will continue to foreshadow a deepening recession throughout the economy. Ullish Scenario:If we see substantially deeper available liquidity on the Bid side of the market, this tells us that major price providers in the market are looking to buy the Euro against the US Dollar. The breakdown of the report sho that gas sales fell at a record jackson forex tool during the month as receipts slipped 14.7% from October, while demands for automobiles
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fell another 2.8% following the 5.5% drop in the previous month. Add headlines to your personalized My Yahoo.

Mounting turmoil across the financial spectrum continued to weigh on private-sector lending as consumer credit slipped another $6.6B in December to $2.56T, after falling $11.0B in the

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previous month, which was the biggest drop since 1943. Once these conditions are met, we will place our initial stop at the nearby swing low (or reasonable distance) and this risk will determine
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our first target. Recorded its worst slump since recordkeeping began in 1992 as demands weakened for the fifth consecutive month. In addition, first-time claims for jobless benefits lizzie to a 26-year high of 626K in the week
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ending and conditions are likely to get worse as the economy faces its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

Accelerates, the International Monetary Fund forecasts the annual rate of growth to contract 1.6% this year, and as the

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outlook for future growth remains bleak, policy makers are likely to step up their effort
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in an attempt to jump-start the ailing economy. Considering that close to 60% of all FX market volume is cleared through just six top banks, we see it prudent to be on the same side of the trade as major institutions and will favor a bullish bias on EURUSD
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ahead of the data release. A report by the Conference Board sho that consumer
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confidence fell to 37.7 from a revised reading of 38.6 in December, which was the lowest reading since records begin in 1967, as businesses continued to cutback on employment.

An imbalance in available liquidity on the Bid versus the Offer side of the market will tell

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us the direction major institutions are likely favoring ahead of the announcement. 02/12/2009 13:30 GMT, 08:30 EST Primary Pair Impact. Is expected to contract another 0.8% in January as consumers continue to face financial uncertainties paired with a weakening
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labor market. Advance Retail Sales Report Retail spending in the U.S. As a result, if the sales data falls in line with expectations or slips more than 0.8% during the month, we will hold a bearish outlook for the dollar, and will follow the same strategy for a long euro-dollar trade as the short position mentioned above, just in reverse.

A dismal sales report is likely to stoke increased selling pressures for the dollar as signs of a deepening recession emerge, but a less than expected drop in demands paired with a rise in risk aversion could spur a rally for the greenback

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following the given event risk. The data continues to reflect a dour outlook for growth as the world's largest economy faces its longest recession in over a quarter century, and may lead policymakers to increase their efforts over the coming months in order to avoid a deep and prolonged recession. Our second target will be based on our discretion, and to preserve our profits, we will move the stop on the second lot to breakeven once the first trade reaches its target. Spending plunged 1.8% during November amid expectations for a 2.0% decline, and conditions are likely to get worse as the labor market deteriorates at a record pace. As a result, the world's largest economy lost another 598K jobs during the same period, which marked the biggest decline since 1974, and raised the annual rate of unemployment to a 17-year high of 7.6% from 7.2% in December. Retail Sales Retail sales in the U.S.

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